Showing posts with label stock chart analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock chart analysis. Show all posts

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Stock Market Review-Ford Stock Update



Good Morning Stockhoppers, Market showing strength again. All you have to do is read the stock charts and it tells us that this stock market is on a very steady climb in a upward direction.

Today we may see a slight pullback but I would not expect nothing drastic. It will probably come back to the 13 day exponential moving average and then continue its climb upward. At this point the market is very predictable.

If you read my blog yesterday you would have read that I was right on the nose in regard to ford stock, it did break out of its penant formation in an upward direction. Look at the Ford Stock Chart. Broke out nicely. Now what we have to watch today is if Ford stock will bounce back off the 21 day exponential moving average or will it get on top of the average. If if gets on top today that will signal a very bullish sign....stay tuned.

Until next time......Happy Stock Charting!!

Friday, April 9, 2010

Todays Stock Market Update-Ford Showing Weakness



Good Morning Stockhoppers, The major indexes are looking pretty good today. It looks like the Dow will bounce off the 13 day ema. 11000 is definetly in sight now. Take a look at the Dow chart. It went down to the 21day ema yesterday to move bounce back above the 13day ema, this morning it went to the 13 day ema and looks to be ready to move upward.

As you all know I follow Ford stock very closely. I have made many dollars following the ups and downs of Ford(mostly ups here lately)but I would be very cautious of purchasing this stock and if I currently owned it, I would be watching very closely as I feel it could retreat here within the next few trading sessions. The Reason, simple, the 13 day ema has just crossed downward across the 21 day ema.
Another reason is that during the recent market up days Ford has not been rebounding as it should. Use today for example. Market is up around 35pts, Ford is barely hanging on to gains, around .04. That shows weakness. I will stick with my recent prediction that Ford stock will see 12.25 with the next stop being around 12.00.

Hope all your trades are profitable and until next time....Happy Stock Charting!!

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Market Resting or Exhausted





Hello Stockhoppers, Well tell me is the market just taking a little rest or is it exhausted and ready to retreat? After all it has climbed a big hill with the DJI approaching the 11000 mark, just when you think it is going to break out, it falls back. Now as you can see by the DJI index chart it has had several areas of minor consolidation, the current one being the most extensive of the three areas. The thing that concerns me most is that it is also moving farther away from the 13day and 21 day exponential moving average(you know these are the only indicators you really need to trade the major indexes)which means what? the market will soon retreat back to these levels where we wait to see whether it will bounce off these levels or continue in the downward trend.

My current position is with GE I am short this stock at 17.93 I am a little out of the money right now but the reason I have not covered this position is because if you were to ask me if I would still short this stock as of even three days ago I would still say yes. I do believe it is showing short term weakness, check out the chart. By the way watch Ford and wait for its rebound off the averages.

That is all for now until next time....Happy stock charting!!!

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Market hit first resistance level

Good Morning, Yesterday the market went up and hit the mini resistance level, after finishing near its low yesterday it may be ready to retreat back to the 13day and the 21 day ema.before it makes a push toward the upper resistance level. If we see a breakout it will be very good news today.

My individual stock recommendations from yesterday, pretty much followed yesterdays trend with the exception of FITB, it posted a .30 gain, so if you were in on that one, you did well. If you day traded any of my recommendations you also hopefully did pretty well, as they all saw early gains before they followed the market at days end.

Until next time.........Happy Stock Charting!!!!

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Buying Opportunities 2-16-10


This morning I looked at the overseas market and they are pointing to a higher open for our major indices. Hopefully we will start a new uptrend today, I am looking for the markets to get on top of the 13 day moving avg. Here are the possible buying opportunities I identified.
HCBK(above)- I have placed an order to buy 1000shares on a move above13.27, notice trading above 13 and 21day avg. looking for follow through.


LEG below)- Here the stock is bouncing off support levels, I believe it will move back toward the avgs. I would be watching very closely as it does reach the avgs. to see if it will bounce back but there is profit to be taken in between. I would be looking at a buy here above 18.87,but again keep an eye out as it reaches the avgs.









IPG(right) -Trading with upward momentum and above the 13day ema(exponential moving avg), it is bouncing off support levels and looking for a follow through above the 21 day ema today. I have put in an order to buy 1000shares when it moves above 6.82
Remember charting stocks is not an exact science. I look at it as more of an art. Follow these charts and see how I do.
I may be in these stocks for a day or 10 it all depends on what the stock charts tell me.
Until tomorrow.... Happy Charting
























Friday, February 12, 2010

Dow Jones going to fall Again?


After Reaching back to the 13 day moving average will the the Dow Fall Again? The S & P futures are show early morning weakness for the major indices. I am still staying on the sidelines!! Until these markets can at least get on top of the 13 day moving average I am not comfortable buying any stocks I need to see some follow through( I will post exactly the day I get in and start buying).


Take a look at the chart above look at the yellow arrows, there is a difference between the last time the market reached the 13 day moving avg. compared to current conditions. When it reached it the first time it was still showing downward momentum. The last few days it has shown upward momentum. Will it bounce off the 13 day moving avg. and continue downward or will it bust through and get on top of the 13 day moving average. I said yesterday was pivotal. Well today is just as pivotal. Continue studying the charts, It will tell you exactly what is going on. There is money to be made studying charts, again be patient and wait for the chart to let you know when the right time is to buy. Have a great weekend..........
Happy Charting

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Not As Hard As They Want You To Believe

Charting stocks and making a good profit is not as hard as the pros want you to believe that it is. Yes there are some criteria involved that separate the good traders from the washed out traders but it is very possible for you to make good money from watching your own money instead of just handing it over to some investment advisor, don't get me wrong there are some very good advisers, all I am saying is that no one cares more about your money than...... you do.



Charting stocks or technical analysis of a company allows you to gauge a company's momentum or lack there of by looking at the trend of the stocks price through a certain period of time. It gives you a snapshot you could say of how that company's stock is performing and even the likely hood of if it will continue or not. This is where you profit. You can make a profit on the way up or you can profit if the stock is going down. No having to look at any ratios, studying the company's earnings and revenues or dissecting the year end books, because it is all baked in the chart, the story of how well or how poor the company is doing is right on the chart and reading it is easier than you think.



Once you understand the universal principles of charting you will be able to use them in any market whether it would be stocks, options, futures, or any market for that matter. You will be able to tell who is winning the bears or the bulls, for the chartists it really does not matter.



Going back to the criteria that makes a good trader..... here is my list:





1) You must be disciplined - do not let yourself get caught up in greed. A good trader stays calm, cool and collected. Manage your emotions and read what the chart is telling you and you will be profitable.




2) Patient,Patient,Patient - I cannot stress this enough. Don't feel that you have to be in the market all the time, don't feel like your missing an opportunity just because you are not in. Some of your best trades will be the ones you decided not to get into. Let the market come to you, do not chase it.

That's it! those are the two personal criteria you will need to be a successful trader.




There are some terms that you will want to get use to like resistance ( a certain price point that the stock repeatedly will go up to but not break through) and support ( a certain price point that a stock will repeatedly go down to but always seems to bounce back from).



When researching and studying different styles of charting stocks you will hear about chart patterns such as flags, pennants,channels,1-2-3 bottom and tops, head and shoulder, the list goes on and on.



You will also hear of charting tools that may help you decide when there is a good opportunity. Some of these are: Moving averages, Bollinger Bands, stochastics, Oscillators, RSI, Williams % R, MACD...again the list goes on. There have been many books sold on these(I have actually read many of them) individual methods. These can be very contradictory and hard to evaluate.

My rule is KISS, you know Keep It Simple Student, because anyone involved in studying the market always continues to be a student. HERE IS HOW I HAVE BEEN SUCCESSFUL. I use the 21 day and the 14 day exponential moving average on a high,low,open,close style bar chart.



I start out by applying them to the DOW, S & P 500 and the NASDAQ exchanges, this gives me a very good idea of which direction the major indices are moving.

I figure out what the trend is, then I study and analyze all the stocks in the S & P 500(I do this at night after the market has closed) that are in my price range and decide which chart is showing me the best opportunity. The reason I use these stocks are because they are high volume stocks which means that they are very actively bought and sold and for me that makes them a bit more predictable.

When I find the charts that are interesting to me I then check the news on them to make sure there wasn't any major news out on them after the market closed that could effect the price of that stock the next day.


I then put in an order to purchase that stock at a price higher than the previous days high, anywhere from 7 to 10 cents higher. Why you ask? because I want to know that the momentum is going to continue and that my study of the stock was, at least on the open correct.

Once my stock hits my predetermined price and is purchased I continually watch it on a daily basis making sure it is continuing up the 14 and or 21 day moving average, along with watching for any breaking news on my stock that could drastically change the price of the stock.

Now for maybe the most important part WHEN TO EXIT YOUR POSITION. Not only is it important to buy right it is also as or more important to know when to sell. There are a couple of ways to do this. When starting out and you just made a nice profit and are getting nervous, GET OUT!! TAKE YOUR PROFIT!! but do yourself a big favor, find out why it was a good trade, what are the things you did right, NEVER beat yourself up when you look at the stock the next day and it went up another 10%. You made a profit, be happy and look to the next opportunity.
What I do is look at the chart and news everyday and ask myself would I buy this stock today? If my answer is yes then I hold it, if my answer is no I put in my order to sell, I take the emotion out of it. It is that cut and dry for me. Like I said earlier KEEP THE EMOTION OUT OF THE TRADE.

When Charting Stocks I never look to get in at the very bottom and out at the very top, I like to take my profit out of the middle, it is less risky.

I love the art of technical trading. I work on polishing my craft everyday. I created this Blog to find others that feel the same way and to exchange ideas and to invite people that maybe have just started or are just curious of how this can work for them.

I painted this subject with a broad brush, so do some reading on the subject of technical analysis there is not a shortage of reading material out there believe me. Let me know your thoughts.
I will continue to post in more depth on the subjects of Charting Stocks and even let you know what I am trading and the results(doing this really helps me stay focused). Currently I am on the sidelines looking for my next opportunity. Let me know how you are doing.

I am currently what I would call a part time trader, I am 43 years old, have six children and I do have another job (Realtor) but my passion is trading. I have been studying the different aspects of trading for over 15 years. I have taken my share of lumps playing options and futures, I now totally concentrate on just the stock market, it is what suits me best and where I am most comfortable. Last year 2009 was my best, I made approximately 80% on my money, and its all about being DISCIPINED and PATIENT! and over the last 6years trading has added a nice supplement to my income. I do take money out of the market because it makes it more real. Nothing nicer than seeing a check come from your brokerage firm. I know...I know Warren Buffet never sells a stock, well if I had a plane to fly all over the world to check out businesses that I might be interested in buying then maybe I wouldn't sell either. The only thing I think I have in common with Warren Buffet is that we both love what we do.

I hope this has helped you in some way or at least peaked your interest, again stayed tuned and jump in and participate....I would love to hear from you.

By the way I always advise people who are just starting out to take a month or Ten and practice, there are many brokerage companies that will set up ficticious accounts for you to do dry runs and get a feel for the process without the risk. You will know when your ready for the real thing.


Until next time...When we will talk about specific entry and exit points and my most current position(s) in the market.......... Happy Charting!!